The automation of jobs threatens to completely change the economy and our way of working. Are you safe from the rise of the machines?
Here at Android Authority I really pushed the idea of working online. The Internet makes it easier than ever to acquire new skills and abilities and seek work in these areas. Remote work has countless benefits, whether it's stopping commuter traffic, setting your own hours, or enjoying lunch with friends. This also benefits employers, and more and more companies are starting to outsource jobs to online professionals.
25 percent of US jobs threaten to be replaced in the next ten years.
However, there is another, even more compelling aspect of online work: automating jobs. Automation refers to the case of companies replacing human resources with algorithms and machines that do the exact same job, but much faster and with much less overhead. It happens in many industries and it is likely that many traditional jobs will disappear in the next ten years.
According to a Washington Think Tank report from the Brookings Institution, 25% of jobs in the US are threatening to be replaced in the next decade.
The Rise of Machines
Certain works are ripe for automation. This applies in particular to all work that can be classified as "boring and repetitive". These include, for example, data entry, stacking and proofreading.
In 2017 The UK National Statistics Office carried out similar investigations. It has been concluded that the following occupations are most at risk of replacement:
- Waiter (73%)
- Shelf Filler (72%)
- Basic Seller (71%)
- Bar Staff (71%) )
- Kitchen and catering aids (69%)
It is easy to see how this could happen. As self-checkout systems are increasingly used in stores, the technology already exists to fully automate this type of job. This can improve business revenue, reduce queues, and help customers avoid social interactions (the last one being large in the UK).
Likewise, image processing has improved so much that robots can move easily into warehouses and select the right boxes. And this leads to fewer errors, higher sales and zero health and safety concerns.
More robust are highly qualified work areas that require specialist training and qualifications. It is also generally accepted that jobs that require soft skills, such as B. at the bedside, are probably safer. Some examples of lower-risk jobs are:
- Dentists (21%)
- Secondary school teachers (21%)
- University teachers (21%)
- University teachers (20%))
- Doctors (18%)
If your job is on this list, you may be safe longer.
What about creative jobs?
If you're lucky enough to work as a doctor, As an artist or writer, you may be complacent that your job is likely to be safe for a while. In particular, physicians are considered to be particularly immune.
But do not make it too cozy!
As AI progresses, it even threatens to invade professions that we normally consider purely human territory creativity.
AI programs were recently used to compose entirely new pieces of music. And so you do not believe that these pieces sound somehow robotic or emotionless, they have been put to the test and need to be scrutinized. Even professional musicians can not reliably identify music written by these programs.
Even professional musicians can not reliably identify music written by AIs.
You can convince yourself now. Click here to listen to Aiva's album Genesis .
The same applies to artists. Computers have long been able to create impressive works of art. An AI is even able to accurately imitate the art styles of famous painters to the point where even art experts are often bamboozled.
Designers are even more vulnerable. After all, design has a purpose, and machine learning algorithms can find out much better how to position and color a button so users can click it! Think of all the jobs that have already been lost to tools like WordPress and SquareSpace.
If it is comforting, we will probably be unemployed here as well at Android Authority . The Associated Press used AI for years to report minor league baseball games. How long does it take to write about new phone starts?
While AIs are likely to remain a fun gimmick over the next few years, we could realistically see that finding jobs to write and compose will be more difficult over the next 20 years.
So nobody is safe from automating jobs?
In the not too distant future, the automation of jobs is likely to engulf many more jobs.
Drivers' days are numbered thanks to the development of self-driving cars, and as more drone wars are conducted remotely, the demand for military personnel may be lower. Some experts expect these vehicles to be used commercially next year.
Administrators and secretaries are likely to lose to digital assistants in many cases. There have long been plans for assistants like Cortana to "talk to each other" and make appointments. Most readers will remember the frighteningly natural (though probably staged) Google Duplex demonstration of I / O 2018.
Read More: What is Google Duplex and how do you use it?
Production orders will almost certainly dry up as 3D printing becomes more versatile. The builders are likely to be challenged by robots soon, but this gets worse as more buildings are prefabricated in factories and then delivered to the site. The construction of houses in this way has many advantages.
Smaller items such as ornaments and furniture can even be things you print from home with a 3D printer. Maybe you can talk to a digital assistant, give him the dimensions and characteristics of the object you want, and then just wait for it to print in a few hours.
Meet Your Robotic Doctor
Doctors and researchers, even they might eventually fall prey to job automation. Thanks to machine learning, programs can now use deep-learning algorithms to more accurately detect cancerous skin lesions compared to "real" physicians. In one study, melanoma was recognized correctly in 95% of cases, compared to 86.6% of human dermatologists.
AI was able to recognize melanoma correctly in 95% of cases.
Robots are even used in surgery and not "in the future" – it's happening right now! More than 5,000 surgical robots, such as the Intuitive Surgical Da Vinci robot, have been deployed in over 1 million procedures in the last year alone. These machines never get tired. Their hands are completely calm and they can view their patients on a microscopic level for incredible precision.
Why would anyone ever choose to have a fallible person incised in them? again?
Robots that collect data from patients who can monitor vital signs and facilitate diagnosis are also already in use.
The Limits of Job Automation
Of course, a doctor's job is not just about identifying and cutting off melanoma. Here man has the advantage of not specializing.
There are some variants of AI, but most still fall into a category called "weak AI". This means that AI is programmed for a specific job. The surgical Da Vinci robot is not ready to deliver bad news or perform a prostate exam (thank God). It may not even accompany you to the surgeon's office or provide you with your dress.
Similarly, Aiva can not sing, dance or joke in front of a live audience at a concert. These programs also can not decide to compose something in a different genre.
We should not completely ignore the "human element".
For the foreseeable future, physicians and composers are more likely to use robots and AI to ] support them in their work. These are advanced tools: Examples of Force Multipliers and not true automation. But if a doctor can use these tools to do the work of ten, it will still have a big impact on the job market. But there still has to be someone to control the patient's flow from one machine to the next, monitoring every step of the process.
Similarly, we should not completely disregard the "human element".
Someone If an AI wants to create high quality computer game music for a low price or even an adaptive soundtrack, this is a good opportunity. Of course, there will probably always be market songs written by troubled celebrities with big media profiles.
The good news
That sounds pretty bleak, right? It's not all bad news.
On the one hand, the automation of jobs is very good news for the consumer. The costs will go down, the selection will increase and quality controls will be a thing of the past. Doctors' waiting lists are also getting shorter and you never have to wait long for your food to go out with the conveyor belt when you eat.
This is also extremely good news for the economy. According to estimates, the automation of jobs should have a value of trillion . According to the PWC, AI will boost the global economy by $ 15 trillion by 2030. That's just 10 years .
AI will boost the global economy by $ 15 trillion by 2030.
This means that if you are unemployed, it may be less important.
The only workable solution for the current automation tasks is a "universal basic income". The idea is that everyone deserves a basic salary, which is provided by the automation of jobs, so that they can be creative and intellectual if desired. Basically Star Trek-like life.
Although this idea seems far-fetched, it has been endorsed by people like Bernie Sanders and John McDonnell. In addition, it was even tried in Finland, where 2,000 unemployed Finns received a base salary of 560 euros.
The experiment failed and was discontinued in April 2018. Apparently it is too expensive to pay so much money to all (no duh). I'm a bit surprised nobody expected it first, but it could all be very different when computers bring in trillions of dollars for the economy.
We are likely to see an increase in poverty and possibly even civil unrest
Many are still optimistic that someday we will be able to decide whether we want to work or not, creating a kind of golden age. Finally, AI will make advances in medical research, programming, computer science and engineering, theoretical physics and more.
When this happens, we may be in the abyss of the singularity (a period of scientific breakthroughs that trigger rapid social change and cause either utopia or the end of the world – no problem).
The problem is exactly what happens between then and now. There will be uncomfortable pain as the job market shrinks and governments no longer know how to respond. At this point, we will probably see an increase in poverty and possibly even civil unrest. Job automation can cause much annoyance and confusion, and we have seen the political implications this can have. No one has any illusions about what could happen.
We must prepare for this impending storm. And as you develop your skills as an online expert, you're in the best possible position.
What can you do now to survive the automation of jobs?
If you want to make your career job-proof against job automation, there are a few steps you can take.
The first is to move forward and diversify. This means that you will expand your current skills with qualifications and expertise. Do not wait for your employer to prepare you for training. Find your own training and certification and complete it in your free time.
Please note that it will be more difficult for AIs to replace jobs that require a degree or postgraduate degree. It also makes it difficult to replace jobs that need to solve creative problems and think outside the box.
They are more agile, more valuable and more competitive with AI.
You could diversify your portfolio and your skills is also a wise move. The more strings you have on your bow, the more versatile you will be. A single human operator who can do the work of 10 robots and AIs may still be the smarter economic choice for a large company.
If you work in IT, you should be concerned with server maintenance, web design, programming, pentesting and more to make you a rounder candidate. This also gives you alternate positions if your main task is eroded.
Improve your communication and employee skills, they become a big differentiator.
] Also consider the opportunities that arise from this change. While many coding tasks must be automated with certainty, more advanced programming tasks are performed by human programmers for a while. In particular, we need more programmers to create and manage these AIs and to manage the data. We also need data analysts responsible for creating the deep learning algorithms.
Read more: How to become a data analyst
Areas such as data security will probably also be in increased demand. As the AI controls more and more personal information, it becomes vitally important to keep it safe.
Online work is becoming increasingly common and necessary, as well as the awarding of contracts. In this way, employers can select highly talented people from all over the world who do not need a job, health insurance or training. In short, you are more agile, more valuable and more competitive with AI.
Read more: What is the Gig Economy? Why the future of work is online (and how to prepare)
Stay tuned to Android Authority where we will give many tips and advice on how to prepare for this future of Develop new ones Requested skills and sell your services online.
Be honest, a robot will probably get you to work someday. Automating jobs is a relentless flood and there is no reason to believe it will stop.
The only real question is how long it will take. For the moment, if your job has expertise, is diverse, and includes an element of personal care, you will probably be fine. If your job repeats frequently and is not very creative, think about career change.
Automating jobs is a relentless flood and there's no reason to suspect this stop
If you want a more specific answer, you can always visit WillRobotsTakeMyJob.com . You can enter your job title here and quickly get a percentage of the risk, but nobody is completely safe.
If you want to survive job automation and succeed in the near future dominated by AI, you need to adapt.
It's time to romp against the machine!