The Times / Siena poll also reports that Biden and Trump are on par in Georgia with 45 percentage points each among likely voters polled, and that Biden has a 3-point advantage over Trump among likely voters polled in Iowa (45-42 percent ).
Trump won Georgia’s 16 votes in 2016 with 5.7 percentage points. Republican presidential candidates have promoted Georgia in every election since 1992, when Democrat Bill Clinton won there.
Iowa is less reliable Republican and doesn’t support a Democratic presidential candidate until 2012 in Barack Obama’s re-election race. But Trump won the state̵
The Senate races in the three states, where all at-risk Republican incumbents are fighting for another term, are similarly competitive, the Times / Siena poll shows. Each of the competitions could determine whether the Democrats take control of the chamber.
Texas Senator John Cornyn has a 6 percentage point lead over Democratic challenger MJ Hegar (43-37 percent). Georgia Senator David Perdue leads Democratic challenger Jon Ossoff with 3 points, 41-38 percent. And Iowa Senator Joni Ernst is 2 points behind Democratic challenger Theresa Greenfield, 40-42 percent.
The Times / Siena poll, conducted September 16-22, polled 523 probable voters in Georgia, 501 probable voters in Iowa, and 653 probable voters in Texas. The sample error rate is plus or minus 4.9 percentage points in Georgia, 4.99 points in Iowa, and 4.3 points in Texas.