Democratic presidential candidate Joe BidenJoe BidenTrump, supporters gather without mask in NC despite request from local GOP officials Democrats fear a repeat of 2016 despite Biden’s lead in polls Trump: Harris would be an “insult” as first female president MORE leads President Trump All six core states of the battlefield will play an oversized role in determining the White House’s profit in November, according to a new poll.
The latest CNBC poll found that Biden has an overall advantage of 49 to 45 percent in North Carolina, Florida, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. In the same poll two weeks ago, conducted after the Democratic Convention but before the Republican Convention, Biden led 49 to 46.
Biden’s 4-point advantage is outside the survey’s 1.4-point margin of error.
In some states, however, the race is closer, which gives Trump hope that late-breaking undecided voters could tip the electoral college in his favor, as in 2016.
In North Carolina, Biden leads 49 to 47, after a point two weeks ago. Most polls show North Carolina is a mistake and the president fought in Winston-Salem Tuesday night.
Biden received 49 percent support in Florida, compared to 46 percent support from Trump.
Several other recent polls have found candidates compete against each other in the Sunshine State, with Trump receiving support from Latinos and Biden seeing more support from seniors.
In Arizona, Biden was at the helm of Trump at 49 percent, compared to 45 percent for the president. That number has risen from a 2-point lead last month.
Biden saw 50 percent support in Pennsylvania versus Trump’s 46 percent support.
The Democratic candidate’s two best states are Michigan and Wisconsin, where he is 6 points ahead of Trump.
If the 2016 map stays the same, but Biden is able to rebuild the Democratic “blue wall” and reclaim Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, he’ll take over the White House this year.
The CNBC poll of 4,143 likely voters was conducted from September 4th to September 4th. 7th