The peak of the hurricane season is only a few days away and forecasters on Sunday have four potential areas for tropical development in the Atlantic in mind.
The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami said two systems in the eastern part of the Atlantic Basin are “likely” to become tropical depression in the next five days.
Historically, September produces most of the tropical activity in the Atlantic Basin.
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Forecasters said an area of low pressure halfway between the west coast of Africa and the Leeward Islands is “gradually becoming better defined”
According to the NHC, there is a high or 90% chance that a tropical depression will form in the next 48 hours as the system moves further west.
If this system were named, it would be “Paulette” and possibly a record for the earliest tropical system named “P,” according to Colorado State University’s hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach.
The second area with disturbed weather is also monitored for organization when it moves off the coast of West Africa. This area has about an 80% chance of education over the next five days as it moves further west across the Far Eastern Atlantic.
“Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds and locally heavy rains are possible there on Monday and Tuesday,” the NHC said.
In the western part of the Atlantic, a tropical wave over the central Caribbean on Sunday causes unorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The NHC only has a 10% chance of development in this area over the next five days, adding that any formation would not take place for the next day or two as it moved through the Caribbean.
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“After this time, unfavorable winds at higher altitudes should limit educational opportunities,” said the NHC.
Another area of disturbed weather, a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, creates showers, but there are only “slightly favorable” conditions for development as the system moves west.
The NHC said there was only a 20% chance of development in the next five days.
This 2020 season has been active so far, with multiple storms breaking records for their respective letter on how early they formed.
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The two most recent storms, Nana and Omar, were the earliest recorded storms of the 14th and 15th, defeating the arrival of Nate on September 6, 2005 and Ophelia on September 7, 2005, according to Klotzbach.
Hurricane season is now at its busiest month as activity historically spikes until September 10th, when it peaks and then slowly starts to decline.
Historically, around two-thirds of all hurricane activity in the Atlantic occurs between August 20 and October 10. Klotzbach tweeted earlier this month.
NOAA forecasters are now calling for up to 25 named storms with winds of 39 miles per hour or more. Seven to ten of these could turn into hurricanes. Among these hurricanes will be three to six larger ones classified as Category 3, 4, and 5 with wind speeds of 111 miles per hour or higher.
That is well over an average year. Based on data from 1981 to 2010, there are 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes. So far this year there have been 15 named storms, including five hurricanes.
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The 2020 hurricane season in the Atlantic lasts from June 1st to November 30th and includes the names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaiah, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette , Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred.
Fox News’ Adam Klotz and Brandon Noriega contributed to this report.