Republicans are increasingly concerned about the election numbers, which show a rising Democratic wave just four weeks before election day President TrumpDonald John Trump Trump and Biden’s plans would both add to debt. Analysis suggests that Trump will support certain relief efforts after breaking off talks. Trump Beats FDA MORE Over Vaccine Guidelines suffers from one of the most brutal two-week stretches of his first term at exactly the wrong moment.
For months, Republicans and Democrats have been predicting this former vice president with confidence Joe BidenThe lead in national and battlefield surveys would increase.
But after a new series of staggering numbers, some Republicans are beginning to fear that voters who hesitate to say they will support Trump will not be coming home and that the few remaining undecided voters will be voting against him – and the Republican Party as a whole – break.
“The common wisdom among Republican strategists and pollsters was that after Labor Day there was a natural tightening,” said Ken Spain, a longtime Republican strategist. “The events of the last few days have thrown it into chaos.”
Trump has received bad news over the past two weeks, with The New York Times reporting that he paid just $ 750 in federal income taxes the year he won the White House and his first year as president.
The number of Americans who have died from the coronavirus was over 200,000.
Trump has refused to say that if he lost the election, he would peacefully cede power.
His announcement of a new candidate to fill a seat on the Supreme Court became an obvious coronavirus superspreader event after Trump, First Lady Melania TrumpMelania TrumpDemocratic MP Carbajal tests positive for COVID-19 Biden: “We shouldn’t have a second debate” if Trump is still defending COVID-19 overnight: quarantine of the best military officers after positive COVID case | Distracted pilot, technical problems caused the F-35 MORE to crashTwo US senators and others contracted the virus. Trump spent three nights at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center after needing supplemental oxygen at the White House.
In the midst of it all, Trump took his opportunity to change the course of the presidential contest with a bombastic, haranguing performance in the debate phase with Biden, during which Trump refused to denounce white supremacy.
In a remarkably stable political environment, the survey shows a clear departure from the GOP.
A poll published Tuesday for CNN found that Biden leads Trump by a 57-41 percent lead. A poll published over the weekend by the NBC-Wall Street Journal found that Biden is 14 points ahead. Even Rasmussen, the Republican pollster Trump so often announces, found Biden 8 points ahead of him in his latest poll.
Virtually every battlefield poll also breaks against Trump. Recent polls have put Biden way ahead in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and New Hampshire. Trump leads with small profit margins in normally solid Republican states like Texas, Missouri, and South Carolina. Internal Republican polls show that Trump is only barely the leader in states like Montana and Kansas.
“These past three weeks have just felt terrible,” said Jai Chabria, a Republican strategist in Ohio. “It feels like the Democrats certainly have momentum this past month, but I don’t think anyone knows what that means.”
Most Republicans pointed to Trump’s debut performance as the final straw in the minds of many voters. While his main supporters may have loved Trump’s fiery attacks on Biden and his family, those who were concerned or undecided to support Trump decided not to.
“People don’t want him in their living room for another four years,” said a prominent Republican strategist, who asks for anonymity in order to openly assess Trump’s reputation. “You’re just tired of him.”
There is growing evidence that Trump’s dismal polls are starting to affect Republican competitions. Voters see increasingly little difference between national party figures and their locally elected officials.
“We are developing into a parliamentary system, so to speak,” said Rep. Tom ColeThomas (Tom) Jeffrey Cole Bottom Line House approves 0.3 trillion spending package for 2021 Several lawmakers quarantine themselves after contacting Gohmert MORE (R-Okla.), A past chairman of the National Republican Congressional Committee. “We need the president to be competitive.”
While both parties have focused on a handful of Republican-held seats as the keys to controlling the Senate, the Democrats have become much more optimistic in recent days about an expanded battlefield.
Democrats are optimistic that their candidates will challenge Sens. Lindsey GrahamLindsey Olin GrahamWarner urges Facebook, Twitter and Google to protect themselves from disinformation about elections. Pence doesn’t want Plexiglas in the upcoming VP debate. Twenty-one GOP Lieutenant Governors sign a letter confirming Barrett (RS.C.), Steve DainesSteven (Steve) David DainesGOP fear grows over Trump’s political roller coaster GOP struggles to defend Trump’s ObamaCare lawsuit. Overnight Health Care: Six Republicans Break Party On ObamaCare Vote | Pfizer CEO ‘disappointed’ vaccine discusses ‘politically’ | The decision of the Supreme Court of Trump signed the 2006 MORE declaration on the “right to life” (R-Mont.) And And SullivanDaniel Scott SullivanThe Hill’s Morning Report – Trump quarantined first lady after testing positive for COVID-19 GOP fights to defend Trump’s ObamaCare lawsuit New polls fuel GOP fears of Biden fleeing Trump MORE (R-Alaska). The leading Democratic super-PAC has invested heavily in Kansas, a state that hasn’t sent a Democrat to the Senate in nearly a century.
The House Democrats are defending a relatively small number of seats from candidates who helped the party win back a majority in the 2018 midterm elections. Instead, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) has expanded its list of Republican goals.
The DCCC announced on Tuesday that it would run ads for GOP representatives. Don YoungDonald (Don) Edwin YoungHopes for DC, Puerto Rico Statehood Rise Florida Democrat Introduces Bill to Recognize Puerto Rican Statehood Referendum Democratic campaign leader predicts a larger majority (Alaska), Chip RoyCharles (Chip) Eugene RoyBiden, Democrats See Belated Opportunity in Texas The Hill’s Morning Report – Sponsored by Facebook – Trump Continues Maskless COVID-19 Recovery in Texas Swing District of the White House Republican Calls for State AG’s contested resignation (Texas), Jim HawthornJames Lee Hagedorn3 Air Force One Congressmen with Trump flew commercially following the president’s diagnosis. Demand for COVID-19 testing at the Capitol grows after Trump tests positive Hispanic caucus campaigns (Minn.), French hillJames (French) French Hill The IMF’s use and abuse in the fight against COVID-19 Lawmakers urge Pelosi, McConnell to diversify the coronavirus aid program oversight body (Ark.) And Lee ZeldinLee ZeldinDCCC reserves new ad purchases in competitive districts and adds new members to the Red To Blue program. Overnight Defense: House Panel examines Pompeo’s congressional speech | UN Council Rejects US Demand For Restoration Of Iranian Sanctions Court Rulings Against Pentagon Policy’s Slowdown On Accelerated Citizenship The Hill’s 12:30 Report: Republicans Personally Conduct More Namely Conventions (NY) – all represent districts that Trump won in 2016 by more than 10 percentage points. The House Majority PAC announced on Tuesday that it would campaign heavily in districts held by representatives. Steve ChabotSteven (Steve) Joseph Chabot spokesman Pelosi, House Democrats, leave town, American people Kate Schroder fail in Ohio amid Democratic challengers suppressing GOP hopes for House Centrist Democrats’ petition for GOP PPP to be dismissed (R-Ohio) and Ann WagnerAnn Louise WagnerHouse Suburban Caucus Drives Congressional Pandemic Response DCCC reserves new ad purchases in competitive districts and adds new members to the Hispanic Caucus campaign arm supporting the list of non-Hispanic candidates (R-Mo.).
“The Republicans ruined this year for many Americans. Can you blame the voters for wanting to ruin their election night? “Said Rep. Cheri BustosCheryl (Cheri) Lea BustosBiden, Democrats See Late Opportunity in Texas The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden Asks If Public Can Trust Trump’s Vaccine Before Election Day | Oklahoma health officials hoisted red flags before the Trump rally dropped DCCC millions for the electoral education program MORE (D-Ill.), Who heads the DCCC. “No matter what the national environment looks like, we are all set for victories.”
Even if Republicans suffer heavy losses this November, the party is poised to win some seats that it lost in the medium term in 2018.
Polls show Senator Doug Jones (D-Ala.) Is lagging behind Republican candidate Tommy Tuberville. House Republicans are optimistic about their chances of winning back the seats in the House of Representatives. Kendra HornKendra Suzanne HornStand-alone Bill to Relieve Airlines Blocked on the Floor of the House Women of Colored Political Power Kate Schroder in Ohio amid Democratic challengers suppressing the GOP’s hopes for the MORE house (D-Okla.) And Xochitl Torres Small (DN.M.) as well as democratic external groups run ads to defend the representatives. Ron childRonald (Ron) James KindWisconsin MP Ron Kind wins Primary Democrats’ exit briefing saying they fear elections under foreign threat. Conclusion MORE (D-Wis.), Susie LeeSuzanne (Susie) Kelley Lee MORE (D-Nev.) And Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) Sign that the party will not take their elections for granted.
But four weeks before election day there are more clouds than silver lining for the GOP. Trump’s disastrous couple of weeks have impacted the rest of his group.
“If the president falls to the bottom,” said Cole, “it will be a long night for everyone.”