The technology behind driverless "KI" cars seems to be moving faster than people like it. Well, most people ̵
Right now, a relative minority of people are right to give full control over their hardware, and even less can afford it. But the technology is cheaper and more widespread. People will grow up with it, and eventually the fear of AI cars will be out of date.
It's easy to see how future generations will judge the idea of people driving cars. If you stop and really think about it, it seems crazy. People often describe air travel as safer than driving because it makes us feel safer, even though many of us drive more than we fly. We have a blind spot when it comes to driving.
We drive people for a century or two because we built cars before we could do AI. If, after almost 6,000 years, we could (mostly) replace horses as the most important means of transportation, it would be no good thing to replace manually powered cars as standard. Progress is progressing and everyone but the old-school hobbyists will forget about driving. But we'll also forget that we've ever cared how to drive.
Automakers have been trying to manufacture cars that drive themselves since the early 20th century. First, they used things like magnets and radio control. It was not AI, but it betrayed an innate human desire to sleep while driving.
Now we are in the 21st century and the technical race for driverless car technology has begun. BMW has been involved with driverless technology since around 2005. In 2010, a driverless Audi TTS was tested at near-speed, and the following year, GM produced the Urban Electric Networked Vehicle (EN-V). The Volkswagen Temporary Auto Pilot System, which started testing in 2012, can drive at 120 km / h (on the highway – no chases in the city while you take a nap) Of course, there is the Tesla, which is currently the most popular driverless car is being abused by early adopters today (at least on the internet). I will not be impressed until I see a video of someone taking a nap in the field on the Audi AI: Trail, which will have drones for headlights.
And it's not just car companies that jump on the train. Google, for example, has founded the independent subsidiary Waymo, which works on a self-driving taxi service. This is the current ride share minus the part in which a person earns extra money to pay the rent. Apple is also working on something, probably a pure Bluetooth car with no audio input.
But while I'm writing this, we still do not have completely driverless cars. They are usually intended only for motorways and are not replaced, but "supported" by drivers – at least as far as public access is concerned. Elon Musk says the Tesla will be there soon, but there are a lot of limitations for the AI at the moment, which require some skepticism in this regard. So far, the only really public beta testers for AI cars without human error – the true pioneers – are those who are ready to fall asleep on the highway while their car is 100 km / h fast.
The possible future of AI cars  The Audi AI: Trail. "width =" 1237 "height =" 675 "data-crediturl =" https://www.audi.com/en/experience-audi/models-and-technology/concept-cars/audi-ai-trail.html " data-credittext = "Audi" src = "/pagespeed_static/1.JiBnMqyl6S.gif" onload = "pagespeed.lazyLoadImages.loadIfVisibleAndMaybeBeacon (this);" onerror = "this.onerror = null; pagespeed.lazyLoadImages.loadIfVisibleAndMaybeBeacon (this); "/>
The concept car Audi AI: Trail. Audi
For me, the impact of AI on driving is determined by two things: the evolution of technology and our willingness to adopt it Imagine how fast things can change, I like to think of the Wright Brothers' first powered flight, and in 1903 they managed to fly a primitive aircraft for a few hundred feet at a speed of about 6.8 miles per hour and about 10 feet Then, like 65 years later, NASA landed some companions on the moon.  And that was before the technological revolution in which we find ourselves. Culture is now also moving faster (in some ways), so that both technology and acceptance are likely to be faster than we think.
There will be innovations that I can not fathom, but it seems safe In the not-too-distant future, there will be completely driverless cars – if that's the case, industry can dismiss truck and taxi drivers.
We already accept AI support in airplanes and trains and like to give control over our vehicles safety for these machines. Hell, it might even make us feel better if we know that a computer is in control, not a sleepy person. Many of us already trust more machines than other people, but the trick with AI in cars is that you have to trust a machine more than yourself.
What it means for drivers.
As soon as we finally give it up and hand over the keys to our cars, most people will lose their skills (or rather not win). Think of manual transmissions or automatic transmissions: automatic transmissions have become the norm, and so many people (like me) never had to learn how to drive a joystick.
Even now, many people have either never learned to drive or not to drive – especially in urban areas. Many New Yorkers do without a car (and the nutty parking and traffic). And many who were born there may have never completed a driver training course.
In Copenhagen, concerted efforts have led to a city with more cyclists than drivers on the road. Cities with weaker infrastructures also provide an incentive to drive car-free. I felt a deep sting of jealousy as I see a cyclist passing by as I sit in traffic from bumper to bumper in Boston traffic. Considering that 68 percent of the world's population is likely to live in cities by 2050, not only will AI cars be distracted from driving, but also where we live.
People who really love driving will still learn how to drive. As some still learn to drive a gearshift. But for those of us who just need to get from point A to point B, we only learn what we need to know to pass the driver's test. For this future test, you may just need to know how to drive over the car and press a button to call for help because the AI has failed. Who knows?
What I know is how easy it is to forget about your previous abilities. I remember writing MapQuest directions to different cities in the early 2000s. It was easier to read than a road map, but MapQuest still required some things from you. You had to have a general understanding of where you're going before you hit the road, and you had to judge how many miles you've driven. You also had to be careful that you did not miss your trip – the paper does not recalculate your location and does not specify a new route.
In 2019, I turn on my GPS, even though I know where I'm going to get an idea of when I'll be there. The moment it settles or loses connection with the satellite system, my fear increases. My brain was spoiled by technology.
Even smaller luxuries such as side cameras affect well-trained abilities. When I got a car with a side camera for the first time, I did not use it. It was baked in my brain that when I hit the highway I had to turn my head and check the blind spot. I knew the camera would do that for me, but it took a while for me to retrain.
Then I got an older car without side cameras and had to retrain to turn my head and look for the blind spot again. If you do not use it, you lose it – or at least me. Even if the technology becomes extremely reliable, there is a risk that the roads will someday be filled with people who do not know how to operate their vehicles. But I am a product of my time and environment. Future generations will have a different idea of what is possible and good.
People can not do anything.
There is a peculiarity What we ignore modern people, so that we can continue our way: Our brains of apes have inadequate response times for stimuli at driving speed. Besides, many of us are real idiots.
In that sense, we should finally hand over the keys to the computers. We can not react fast enough to avoid all accidents. However, an AI can be designed explicitly for this purpose.
Currently, the public reaction to driverless cars is usually focused on their mistakes. If a self-driving car driving in a beta test zone kills a pedestrian, this is news. And it's bigger news than a human driver killing a pedestrian, or a driverless car that works perfectly and does no harm to anyone. However, this makes sense because AI cars are new and people want to know if they are completely safe.
The real question, however, should not be whether AI cars are completely safe, but whether they are safer than those driven by humans. In the US alone, nearly 40,000 people die every year in traffic accidents and another 2.35 million are injured or disabled.
Will advanced AI vehicles sometimes cause or avoid accidents? For sure; But as long as they do it less than humans, the benefits are too great to ignore.
Sometimes it's good to forget
I imagine the shift is faster than the jump from gliding to landing on the moon. I assume that we forget much of what we know about driving. Will that be a problem? I do not think so. I do not know how to ride, and that does not cause me any problems in my daily life. But not so long ago, if you do not know how to ride a horse, it may have turned you into a useless person.
Things are outdated. People move on, unless they follow the old way of doing things for a particular interest. Some people still ride horses or grab their own tools. One day, people might go to Ye Olde Closed Track, sign a waiver, and try to drive an old "stupid" car.
The broader picture for society, at least from the point of view of road safety, is almost certainly driverless cars, lower annual road deaths. Honestly, these drowsy Tesla drivers are already (and irresponsibly) showing that the technology can do a bit more than what it's marketed for. Plus, people are really bad at driving. There is a lot of room for improvement, and we can see that in the evolving technology.
As for the impact on our skills and culture? Yes, that will change. But these things have always been fluent and changes are inexorable.
Future generations simply do not care that their dead ancestors like to drive.