President TrumpDonald John TrumpDes Moines Mayor says he was concerned about the spread of coronavirus at Trump rally. Democrats write second letter to DOJ about Barrett’s revelations: “Raises more questions than it answers.” Trump asks the campaign to plan daily events for him until the election: REPORT MOREThe campaign challenges public opinion polls that prove a democratic candidate Joe Biden with a big head start in the last few weeks leading up to Election Day, accusing respondents of hiding their methods in order to give the impression that the president is headed for a major defeat.
During a conference call with reporters, Trump advisors spoke as senior advisors Corey LewandowskiCorey R. Lewandowski Sunday Shows Preview: Trump COVID-19 Diagnosis Rocks Washington Election, 2020 Trump Facing Tough Election in Supreme Court Election How Trump Can Win Re-election: Focus On Democrats, Not On Yourself MORE A campaign analysis found that nearly two-thirds of the polls published in recent weeks did not include partisan makeup or crosstabs showing how the polls were conducted.
“This is how some pollsters distort the results,” said Lewandowski. “They don’t want their polls to be scrutinized, so they don’t give us the crosstabs or the partisan structure of the polls, which skews the results.”
Lewandowski said the Trump campaign’s internal polls show a very different race than what is reflected in public polls.
“The enthusiasm in the States is very real,” said Lewandowski.
“Coupled with the recommendations this president is receiving from the law enforcement community and the increase in African American votes he will receive this cycle compared to four years ago, it will be mathematically almost impossible for Joe Biden to win this campaign. “
The Trump campaign has often recalled 2016, when few experts gave Trump an attempt to win the White House. They say this is evidence of a media blind spot in analyzing the polls.
In 2016 Hillary ClintonHillary Diane Rodham ClintonBiden leads Trump by 6 points in Michigan and Nevada, Race in Iowa: Poll Follows Trump in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin: Poll Elderly Voters Helped Put Trump in Office; You will help him take MORE out led in most polls of the battlefield states towards election day. There were hardly any polls that showed Trump before Clinton in Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania, which he narrowly won. The FiveThirtyEight model only gave Trump a 30 percent chance of winning, while other models gave him a far lower chance.
But Biden’s leadership, nationally and in a number of key battlefield states, dwarfs the Clintons.
Biden leads Trump on the RealClearPolitics average of the national polls with 10.6 points nationwide, more than twice as much as Clinton’s advantage at this point in the race. Clinton started election day 3.2 points ahead. Currently, the FiveThirtyEight model offers Trump about a 15 percent chance of winning, although that could change in just over three weeks before the election.
Biden has also expanded his lead in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania and the race looks like a mistake in several other states that Trump has easily won, including Iowa, Ohio, Georgia and Texas.
Biden is seen far more favorably than Clinton. In 2016, independents, seniors, suburban voters and voters who disliked both candidates were late for Trump. Polls show that these groups break heavily for Biden in 2020.
The Trump campaign says it has a superior ground game than the Biden campaign and that it has registered numerous new Republican voters in the battlefield states.
“The trends in voter registration are currently not recorded by survey participants,” said Trump’s campaign manager Bill StepienBill StepienTrump Jr. returns to campaign path after The Memo: Trump quarantine Bob Dole claims no Republicans on the Debate Commission support Trump MORE. “Whatever we’re seeing in the states right now that is seeing trends in voter registration just isn’t being reflected.”