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Tropical Storm Sally forms in the Gulf of Mexico



Flood clocks are in effect through Sunday in areas on the west coast of Florida, including Tampa, Bradenton, Port Charlotte and Fort Myers. 2 to 4 inches of rain is expected in these areas throughout the weekend.

For most forecasting models, Sally is moving toward the northern Gulf Coast and will likely land somewhere between New Orleans and Panama City late Monday or Tuesday. However, if the route continues to shift west or slow down, the landing may continue until Wednesday.

“The cyclone is likely to turn into a hurricane in 2 to 3 days, although an increase in vertical shear could slow the rate of intensification over the northern Gulf of Mexico,” according to the National Hurricane Center.

Once it reaches this area of ​​the Gulf Coast, the steering patterns collapse and the system meanders near the coast.

Whether the meanders meander before landing off the coast or on land will not make much difference in terms of precipitation. In either case, there is the potential for significant flooding due to the slow forward movement along the Gulf Coast.

As of now, widespread accumulations of 4 to 6 inches are likely. However, there will be remote areas along the coast that can take in more than a meter of rain.

Already an active season

So far this season we’ve seen 18 named storms. The average for a whole season is 12. At the beginning of the season, the forecasters called for a very active season.

Many storms broke records because they were the earliest names, including Cristobal was the earliest “C” letter tower in recorded history and Hanna was the earliest “H” letter tower. All but three named storms (Arthur, Bertha, and Dolly) set records to be the earliest named storm for their respective letter.

Sally is just one of several systems in the Atlantic. The NHC is currently monitoring six areas: three tropical storms and three tropical faults. Thursday was the climax of the hurricane season in the Atlantic.

“Tropical Storm Paulette is expected to intensify into a hurricane today,” said Haley Brink, CNN meteorologist. “Paulette is expected to head for Bermuda and potentially land as a Category 2 storm early Monday morning. Bermuda has a hurricane watch whose hurricane conditions are within 48 hours. Tropical storm conditions will affect Bermuda from Sunday afternoon and hurricane conditions start on Sunday evening. “

Another system to be observed is a wide area of ​​low pressure southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. This system has a 90% chance of development in the next five days. The National Hurricane Center expects a tropical depression to form in the next few days. After Sally, there are only three names left on this year’s official list: Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred. After that, the NHC will use the Greek alphabet.

La Niña is officially here

On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration announced that they were issuing a La Niña Advisory, which means that La Niña conditions are present in the central and eastern Pacific.
In a typical El Niño period, much of the Pacific Ocean is characterized by warmer waters, while La Niña cools the same Pacific waters. During hurricanes, La Niña weakens strong atmospheric winds, which allows warm air pockets to grow vertically and develop into hurricanes.

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