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Which calculation rule of the thumb predicts the doubling of the computing power every two years?



  Engineers hold a wafer out of 7mm chips
IBM / Wikimedia

Answer: Moore Law

The Moore Law is a principle in the computer industry in which the number of transistors that use The law was named after Gordon E. Moore, an early engineer for semiconductor devices, who described the trend in a paper published in 1

965 on the future of computational power published in Electronics Magazine was published. Following the pattern of increasing power before the year the paper was written, he predicted that the trend to double computing power each year would continue in the future – later changing his calculations to a more modest double in 1975 Performance every two years.

In addition to the explanation of computer development at the time it was proposed, Moore's Law became a guiding principle for the industry. Development plans and product delivery schedules have been structured around this, further enhancing the perceived accuracy of Moore's forecasts. To this end, it has become a self-fulfilling prophecy as competitors in the microprocessor industry compete for the next iteration of Moore's Law.

However, it is important to note that this may also be referred to as "Moore's Law." It is hardly a law in the sense that we understand laws in physics, for example. The doubling of the performance is no guarantee, since the chip makers had to expand from the 2010s with new materials and novel designs, the limits of technological boundaries to further increase the chip removal rate.


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